陈炜;黄淑萍;

• 1:上海交通大学船舶海洋与建筑工程学院

摘要(Abstract)：

根据维修人为因素分析和分类扩展系统的框架选取影响因素,在航空维修领域应用贝叶斯网络进行人因可靠性分析,建立飞机维修效能模型,直观地表示影响因素与维修效能之间的关系。同时以目视检测为例,结合专家意见确定随机影响因素,通过专家访谈、事故报告、调查问卷、操作记录等渠道获取数据,得出条件概率表,进而建立目视检测表现模型,展示贝叶斯网络的建模流程。案例研究结果表明,组织文化、视觉信息、设备、疲劳、检测距离等因素对目视检测表现的影响非常显著,欲改善目视检测表现,必须对多影响因素进行综合管理。

关键词(KeyWords)： 安全管理工程;贝叶斯网络;人因可靠性分析;航空维修

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基金项目(Foundation):

作者(Authors): 陈炜;黄淑萍;

参考文献(References)：

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