基于博弈论-后悔理论的装配式建筑施工安全风险评估模型研究Research on safety risk assessment of prefabricated buildings based on game theory-regret theory
范成伟;明杏芬;付小红;胡其志;
摘要(Abstract):
针对装配式建筑施工安全性具有随机和模糊性的特点,引入后悔理论,建立了装配式建筑施工安全风险综合评估模型。首先,考虑人、物、管理、环境4个方面,选取14个指标构建了综合评价指标体系;其次,采用改进层次分析法和改进CRITIC法分别确定评价指标的主观权重和客观权重,并基于博弈论确定指标综合权重,通过计算待评估对象总风险评估值确定最终的风险等级;最后,将所建立的基于博弈论-后悔理论的综合评估模型应用到某装配式建筑施工项目安全评估中,并将该模型评估结果与其他模型进行比较。研究表明,所建立的评估模型计算结果合理可靠,为装配式建筑施工安全评估提供了一条新思路。
关键词(KeyWords): 安全工程;装配式建筑;后悔理论;博弈论
基金项目(Foundation): 2020年度湖北省教育厅科研计划指导性项目(B2020269)
作者(Authors): 范成伟;明杏芬;付小红;胡其志;
DOI: 10.13637/j.issn.1009-6094.2020.1807
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