潘争伟,刘晓薇,吴开亚

• 1:安徽新华学院土木与环境工程学院
• 2:安徽新华学院安全与环境评价研究所
• 3:北京师范大学环境学院
• 4:复旦大学公共管理与公共政策创新基地

摘要(Abstract)：

城市化的聚集效应引发众多环境问题,尤其会对水环境产生重要影响。城市化对水环境的影响是多种因素的综合结果,通过对城市化主要影响因子的识别分析,探讨城市化对水环境的影响机理。采用因子分析法对合肥城市化影响因子进行识别,结合巢湖西半湖水环境综合污染指数,应用灰色关联分析模型分析合肥城市化主因子对巢湖水环境的影响。结果表明:合肥城市化影响因子主要包括城市规模、产业结构和城市空间;合肥城市化对巢湖西半湖水环境的影响呈增大趋势;1991—2008年巢湖西半湖水环境质量变化的主要驱动因子为产业结构。建议加大区域产业结构调整,改善巢湖水环境质量,促进城市化与水环境质量协调发展。

关键词(KeyWords)： 环境工程学;水环境质量;城市化;因子识别;巢湖

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(51309004);; 水利部公益性行业科研专项经费项目(201301003)

作者(Author): 潘争伟,刘晓薇,吴开亚

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