龙丹冰;赵一静;杨成;

• 1:西南交通大学土木工程学院
• 2:西南交通大学陆地交通地质灾害防治技术国家工程实验室

摘要(Abstract)：

运维风险评价是地下综合管廊运维管理的重要环节，既有方法以专家评价等静态数据为评价数据，侧重对算法改进以提升评价准确率，未考虑运营过程中管廊状态变化对评价结果的影响，难以反映管廊动态风险变化。提出了以监测报警数据驱动的综合管廊运维动态风险评价方法。建立管廊FMEA评价机制，以专家评价静态数据为基础，在管廊运维风险评价中引入传感监测动态数据；建立风险数据迭代方法，有效融合静态数据与动态数据，获得不断修正的动态风险数据，以反映实时风险状况。采用云模型-灰关联分析法实现风险排序，以处理管廊运维复杂风险关系并解决风险耦合问题。以变化最为频繁的环境质量监测数据为例，通过实际项目应用验证了新方法的有效性。

关键词(KeyWords)： 安全工程;综合管廊;动态风险;风险评价;FMEA

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(51808455,51778537);; 国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFC0802205);; 四川省科技计划项目(2017JY0237)

作者(Authors): 龙丹冰;赵一静;杨成;

DOI: 10.13637/j.issn.1009-6094.2021.0429

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