念其锋,施式亮,李润求

• 1:中南大学资源与安全工程学院
• 2:湖南科技大学计算机科学与工程学院
• 3:湖南科技大学煤矿安全开采技术湖南省重点实验室

摘要(Abstract)：

在系统分析煤矿瓦斯爆炸灾害影响因素的基础上,针对影响因素的复杂性及其之间存在相互作用的特点,提出了煤矿瓦斯爆炸灾害态势评估的GRA-ANP-FCE模型。该模型采用灰色关联分析方法计算影响因素的灰色关联度并进行排序,以获得煤矿瓦斯爆炸灾害的主控因素,构建了由主控因素组成的煤矿瓦斯爆炸灾害态势评估指标体系,采用网络分析法建立了多准则、多层次的评估指标体系网络模型并计算了各评估指标权重,结合评估指标的权重分布,采用多级模糊综合评判法对煤矿瓦斯爆炸灾害的态势进行了评估。通过实例验证了该方法的合理性。

关键词(KeyWords)： 矿山安全;瓦斯爆炸;态势评估;灰色关联分析;网络分析法;模糊综合评判

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(51274100);; 湖南省教育厅科研项目(10C0690);; 煤矿安全开采技术湖南省重点实验室开放基金项目(201002)

作者(Author): 念其锋,施式亮,李润求

参考文献(References)：

• [1]SHI Shiliang(施式亮),WANG Haiqiao(王海桥).Study on nonlinear dynamic safety assessment of coal mine(矿井安全非线性动力学评价)[M].Beijing:China Coal Industry Publishing House,2001.
• [2]CAO Shugang(曹树刚),WANG Yanping(王艳平),LIU Yanbao(刘延保),et al.Risk assessment of gas explosion in coal mine based on the hazard theory[J].Journal of China Coal Society(煤炭学报),2006,31(4):470-474.
• [3]AN Yonglin(安永林),PENG Limin(彭立敏),ZHANG Yunliang(张运良),et al.Extension assessment of proneness of gas explosion in coal mines[J].Journal of Catastrophology(灾害学),2007,22(4):21-24.
• [4]SHI Shiliang(施式亮),LI Runqiu(李润求).Research and application of AHP-GT model of gas explosion accident evolution risk assessment in coal mine[J].Journal of China Coal Society(煤炭学报),2010,35(7):1137-1141.
• [5]ZHANG Airan(张爱然),LUO Xinrong(罗新荣),YANG Fei(杨飞).Risk assessment of gas explosion based on fuzzy neural network[J].Journal of Heilongjiang Institute of Science&Technology(黑龙江科技学院学报),2008,18(1):54-57.
• [6]DENG Julong(邓聚龙).The primary methods of gray system theory(灰理论基础)[M].2nd ed.Wuhan:Huazhong University of Science&Technology Press,2005.
• [7]LI Xiang(李向),XU Qing(徐清).Research on the heavy-metal soil pollution through grey relational analysis in Baotou,Inner Mongolia[J].Journal of Safety and Environment(安全与环境学报),2012,12(1):150-154.
• [8]SAATY T L.Decision making with dependence and feedback:the analytic network process[M].2nd ed.Pittsburgh:Rozann W.Saaty Publications,2001.
• [9]LIU Yan(刘燕),LI Qiang(李强),DING Zhihua(丁志华).Warning mechanism design based on ANP for customer electricity use[J].Journal of China University of Mining&Technology:Social Sciences(中国矿业大学学报:社会科学版),2011(2):60-64.
• [10]ZHONG Denghua(钟登华),CAI Shaokuan(蔡绍宽),LI Yuqin(李玉钦).Risk analysis of hydropower project based on analytic network process and its application[J].Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering(水力发电学报),2008,27(1):11-17.
• [11]YANG Lunbiao(杨伦标),GAO Yingyi(高英仪).Principle and application of fuzzy mathematics(模糊数学原理及应用)[M].Guangzhou:South China University of Technology Press,1995.
• [12]HAN Yujian(韩玉建),CHEN Jianhong(陈建宏),ZHOU Zhiyong(周智勇).Fuzzy assessment method of interval number for gas explosion in coal mines based on index of attitude[J].China Safety Science Journal(中国安全科学学报),2010,20(2):83-88.
• [13]LIU Yejiao(刘业娇),CAO Qinggui(曹庆贵),LIN Xiaofei(林晓飞).Two grades synthesis fuzzy evaluation on internal caused fire accident in mine[J].Journal of Safety and Environment(安全与环境学报),2006,6(S):156-158.