乌鲁木齐河流域径流与气候变化的年内相关性分析Correlation analysis of the runoff and the climate change regularity in terms of one year period in Urumqi River basin
邵霜霜;张毓涛;师庆东;刘曼;徐婉婷;
摘要(Abstract):
为了分析干旱区河流乌鲁木齐河径流在年内的分配及变化特征,定量辨析气温、降水对径流年内变化的驱动作用,根据流域水文气象台站的观测资料,对1993—2012年乌鲁木齐河山区流域降水、气温与径流变化的特征和趋势进行了分析,并对降水、径流的集中期和集中度进行分析,以期发现径流对降水的时滞效应;运用正积温来拟合温度与径流的关系。在此基础上,运用灰色关联度和相关分析法分析径流与气候变化的关联程度。结果表明,降水和气温直接或间接地对径流产生影响,三者各有其年内变化特征,又存在着很大的相关性。
关键词(KeyWords): 环境学;径流量变化;乌鲁木齐河流域;降水;气温
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(31160114);; 新疆研究生科研创新项目(XJGRI2013025)
作者(Authors): 邵霜霜;张毓涛;师庆东;刘曼;徐婉婷;
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